Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 6.262326 7.266872 8.344731 9.583133 10.962417 12.447158 14.161915
2025-03-23 4.914876 6.293285 7.884300 9.839307 12.158799 14.804554 18.031310
2025-03-30 3.816893 5.372460 7.295671 9.807636 12.958268 16.734172 21.552426
2025-04-06 2.849201 4.415901 6.490167 9.363640 13.159982 17.919146 24.241464
2025-04-13 2.121959 3.625140 5.754802 8.876042 13.204093 18.856065 26.637914
2025-04-20 1.806870 3.352838 5.670066 9.224377 14.344411 21.244732 31.006558
2025-04-27 1.646719 3.282271 5.854084 9.950830 16.038108 24.451543 36.611531
2025-05-04 1.472535 3.152121 5.920250 10.492624 17.488253 27.386556 41.976887
2025-05-11 1.236432 2.865981 5.693631 10.549608 18.211597 29.320025 46.028316
2025-05-18 0.991261 2.509037 5.294006 10.277787 18.397233 30.466129 48.994117
2025-05-25 0.799419 2.211334 4.949052 10.046847 18.607603 31.632060 52.007898
2025-06-01 0.669375 2.011835 4.749816 10.032725 19.144150 33.289449 55.780764
2025-06-08 0.541671 1.789674 4.482779 9.884894 19.472572 34.679654 59.274732
2025-06-15 0.495365 1.753360 4.579510 10.404524 20.948696 37.918835 65.683178
2025-06-22 0.421455 1.625961 4.468993 10.523753 21.743979 40.115441 70.579865
2025-06-29 0.325021 1.404289 4.118428 10.140912 21.629218 40.838428 73.214941
2025-07-06 0.243188 1.192132 3.748023 9.670320 21.311417 41.198034 75.273423
2025-07-13 0.219674 1.161420 3.801596 10.072509 22.608884 44.282554 81.760416
2025-07-20 0.216166 1.200874 4.033724 10.869173 24.680650 48.738649 90.577278
2025-07-27 0.203280 1.201610 4.166863 11.461076 26.391626 52.635734 98.590361
2025-08-03 0.171708 1.117281 4.065217 11.528753 27.101316 54.840784 103.903316
2025-08-10 0.133950 0.987557 3.816959 11.240903 27.098143 55.804325 107.193548
2025-08-17 0.104542 0.876917 3.598916 10.995152 27.154355 56.861613 110.655576